Freese-Notis Weather
 

FREESE-NOTIS
INTERNATIONAL WEATHER


7:00 AM, Tuesday, February 25, 2020


WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS/IMPACTS...

BRAZIL/PARAGUAY - February rainfall has been only in the range of 25 to 60% of normal in some southern growing areas of Brazil from parts of Rio Grande do Sul northward into parts of western Parana and far southern parts of Mato Grosso do Sul. Nearby growing areas of Paraguay have had some greater amounts. Rain needed in these southern locations and chances do increase into mid week. This rain will be important in these areas as a drier trend then returns into at least the 6-10 day. Farther north and northeast in Brazil continued rain chances keep up or add soil moisture, but also slow soybean and first crop corn harvest, and Safrinha corn planting. Some of this work still gets done, however.

ARGENTINA - Need for rain increasing here and continues to increase. compared to normal, lightest February amounts have generally been in parts of Santa Fe and Entre Rios. Next major rain chance may not arrive until 11-15 day.

EUROPE -1-5 through 6-10 day heating demand near to below normal most areas, some above normal in far north. 11-15 heating demand near normal more areas. --- FORMER SOVIET UNION - No unusually cold low temps seen in most winter crop areas in near future. Some increasing precip this week beneficial. --- SOUTH AFRICA - Mid to late season growing conditions generally favorable in most corn areas. Next rain chances arrive late week into 6-10 day. --- NORTH AFRICA - Lack of rain continuing to become more critical with time and may be causing some yield reduction in wheat crop. No significant rain seen in near future. --- TROPICAL PACIFIC UPDATE - The latest weekly value of the sea surface temperature departure from normal in the NINO3.4 region of the Tropical Pacific as of Mon. from the U.S. Climate Prediction Center was +0.6 degrees C., up from +0.1 degrees C. last week. Latest value back into weak El Nino category.


BRAZIL/PARAGUAY GROWING AREAS

    High temperatures yest. mostly upper 70s to low 90s, some warmer in north and some cooler in east. During the past 24 only few spotty showers and t-storms occurred in main growing areas of Paraguay and in southern Brazil from Rio Grande do Sul northward into most of Parana and southern Mato Grosso do Sul. Farther north and northeast in Brazil some 0.10-0.75" rainfall common, with a few spotty heavier amounts.

    Highs this week 80s/90s, some cooler in east. Rain chances will increase in growing areas of Paraguay and southern Brazil over next 24 to 48 hours, in areas that have been dry past several days with some 0.50-2.00" rainfall. Drier weather will return later in the week into the weekend in growing areas of Paraguay and in Brazil from Rio Grande do Sul northward into western Parana and southern Mato Grosso do Sul. Farther north and northeast nearly daily chances for showers and t-storms continues, but not all locations get rain each day. 5 day amounts 0.50-2.00" most areas, with some scattered heavier. 6-10 day precip mostly below normal in growing areas of Paraguay and in west-central into southern growing areas of Brazil. Near to above normal farther northeast in Brazil. 11-15 day precip above normal in some northeastern growing areas of Brazil, near to below normal elsewhere. February rainfall has been only in the range of 25 to 60% of normal in some southern growing areas of Brazil from part of Rio Grande do Sul northward into parts of western Parana and far southern parts of Mato Grosso do Sul. Nearby growing areas of Paraguay have had some greater amounts. Rain needed in these southern locations and chances do increase into mid week. This rain will be important in these areas as a drier trend then returns into at least the 6-10 day. Farther north and northeast in Brazil continued rain chances keep up or add soil moisture, but also slow soybean and first crop corn harvest, and Safrinha corn planting. Some of this work still gets done, however.


ARGENTINA GROWING AREAS

    High temperatures yest. 80s/low 90s. A few spotty showers and t-storms past 24 hours, most areas dry.

    Highs 80s/90s most areas for a few days, then cool back to the 70s/80s in southern and central growing areas. A few scattered showers and t-storms forecast into mid week, then drier. Most rainfall light with any amounts over 0.50" confined to some far northern locations. 6-10 day rainfall mostly below normal, then 11-15 day rainfall near to below normal. Need for rain increasing here and continues to increase. Compared to normal, lightest February amounts have generally been in parts of Santa Fe and Entre Rios. Next major rain chance may not arrive until 11-15 day.


EUROPEAN GROWING AREAS

    High temperatures yest. from upper 30s/40s some far northern and some eastern areas to the 70s in some southwestern areas. 1-5 temps near to above normal most areas, some below normal in far north. Similar trend for 6-10 day and 11-15 temps closer to normal over more of region. 1-5 through 6-10 day heating demand near to below normal most areas, some above normal in far north. 11-15 day heating demand closer to normal more areas.


FORMER SOVIET UNION GROWING AREAS

    Most temperatures mild in winter crop areas past 24 hours, with precip amounts of 0.25" or less in most areas. Some 0.25-1.00" amounts in eastern Ukraine, southeastern Southern Region, western and northern Southern Region. Cooler overall this week with increasing snow and rain chances. No usually cold low temps seen. Warmer overall longer term with some additional light precip. No unusually cold low temps seen in most winter crop areas in near future. Some increasing precip this week beneficial.




SOUTH AFRICA

    High temperatures yest. in main corn areas 70s/80s. During the past 24 hours rainfall spotty and light. Drier and warmer weather into mid week with highs warming back the 80s/90s. Some showers return late week into weekend with some 0.25-1.00" amounts. 6-10 day rainfall near to above normal. Mid to late season growing conditions generally favorable in most corn areas. Next rain chances arrive late week into 6-10 day.


NORTH AFRICA

    During the past 24 hours most wheat areas were dry. Any rain here this week spotty and light. 6-10 day rainfall mostly below normal. Lack of rain continuing to become more critical with time and may be causing some yield reduction in wheat crop. No significant rain seen in near future.

    Copyright 2020

    DAN HICKS/METEOROLOGIST
    Freese - Notis Weather
    Des Moines, IA 50312
    Tel (515) 282-9310
    hfreese@weather.net




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