FREESE-NOTIS
INTERNATIONAL WEATHER

7:00 AM, Tuesday, October 22, 2019

BRAZIL/PARAGUAY - After some recent rain, some dry days return to growing areas of Paraguay and west-central into southern growing areas of Brazil, allowing more summer crop planting and fieldwork to occur. Additional rain falls farther north and northeast in Brazil where there areas in which greater rainfall is needed, either to increase soil moisture for summer crops that have been planted or to allow planting to occur. Rainfall from current more active period important here as longer term looks drier again.

ARGENTINA - No major delays in planting and fieldwork this week, then greater rainfall for 6-10 day slows work but adds some soil moisture. Areas most likely to stay in need for greater rainfall to increase soil moisture include some southwestern growing areas in sections of southern Cordoba, San Luis, La Pampa and some western into southern parts of Buenos Aires.

CHINA -- Additional rain slows harvest and fieldwork in western parts of North China Plain, central into western Yangtze Valley and western parts of southern growing areas, but does keep up soil moisture for winter wheat. Less rain in these areas for 6-10 day. Harvest and fieldwork conditions better farther east, but soils gradually dry. --- EUROPE - Recent rain and more this week slows harvest and fieldwork in western and central Europe, but rain benefits winter crops. Less rain more of these areas later in 5 day and 6-10 day. Harvest and field conditions better farther east, but some southeastern areas need rain and amounts stay light. Some greater amounts for 6-10 day. --- FORMER SOVIET UNION - Period of overall drier weather favorable for harvest of summer crops and other fieldwork. Need for some greater precip amounts increasing in winter crop areas. --- SOUTH AFRICA - No delays in corn planting here except where soils may be too dry. No major rains seen in near term to increase soil moisture. Best chances for light rain favor eastern corn areas. --- AUSTRALIA - A larger portion of wheat crop will be nearing maturity in near future and harvest will be increasing. Yield losses have occurred in northern parts of eastern wheat areas this season, and crop conditions have worsened in some northern parts of western wheat areas. Crop conditions better overall farther south in both wheat areas. No major rain seen in near future for any wheat crops that could still benefit from rain. --- TROPICAL PACIFIC UPDATE -- The latest weekly value of the sea surface temperature departure from normal in the NINO3.4 region of the Tropical Pacific as of Mon. from the U.S. Climate Prediction Center was +0.8 degrees C., up from +0.4 degrees C. last week. Latest value in weak El Nino range.

High temperatures yest. 80s/90s most northern growing areas, ranging down to 60s in some far southern and far southeastern locations. Any showers in far southern Brazil and main growing areas of Paraguay light past 24 hours. Farther north showers and t-storms continued, and a few did spread into some northeastern growing areas. Not all locations in Brazil had rain, amounts 0.25-1.00" along with some lighter and a few heavier.

Drier in near term in Paraguay and most far southern growing areas of Brazil, and diminishing rain chances extend northward into western Sao Paulo and southern into central Mato Grosso do Sul. Farther north and northeast in Brazil some additional 0.50-2.00" 5 day rainfall. 6-10 day rainfall drops to near and below normal most areas, some greater amounts return to far south. 11-15 day rainfall near to below normal, some above far south. After some recent rain, some dry days return to growing areas of Paraguay and west- central into southern growing areas of Brazil, allowing more summer crop planting and fieldwork to occur. Additional rain falls farther north and northeast in Brazil where there areas in which greater rainfall is needed, either to increase soil moisture for summer crops that have been planted or to allow planting to occur. Rainfall from current more active period important here as longer term looks drier again.

ARGENTINA GROWING AREAS

High temperatures yest. upper 60s/70s south, 70s/low 80s north. Any showers past 24 hours spotty and light, with most areas dry.

Rainfall here fairly spotty here in near term, with some scattered 0.05-0.50" 5 day amounts. Highs continue to warm some. 6-10 day rainfall near to above normal north and central, near to below normal south. 11-15 day rainfall near to northern growing areas, near to below normal central and south. No major delays in planting and fieldwork this week, then greater rainfall for 6-10 day slows work but adds some soil moisture. Areas most likely to stay in need for greater rainfall to increase soil moisture include some southwestern growing areas in sections of southern Cordoba, San Luis, La Pampa and some western into southern parts of Buenos Aires.

During the past 24 hours some 0.25-1.00" rainfall occurred in eastern Spain, southeastern France, northwestern Italy and southwestern Germany. Mostly lighter showers in rest of western Europe, with drier weather in east. Some rain continues in western and central parts of Europe, with heavier amounts shifting more to southern locations and lighter in north. Most of eastern Europe stays dry. 6-10 day precip near normal most areas. Recent rain and more this week slows harvest and fieldwork in western and central Europe, but rain benefits winter crops. Less rain more of these areas later in 5 day and 6-10 day. Harvest and field conditions better farther east, but some southeastern areas need rain and amounts stay light. Some greater amounts for 6-10 day.

During the past 24 hours no significant precip in most winter crop and southern summer crop areas. No significant p precip most areas into Sat., some light showers in north. 6-10 day precip near to below normal. Period of drier weather favorable for harvest of summer crops and other fieldwork. Need for some greater precip amounts increasing in winter crop areas.

During the past 24 hours rainfall of 0.50-1.50" reported in far southwestern North China Plain, central Yangtze Valley and northwestern parts of southern growing areas. Elsewhere rain lighter and more spotty and many areas were dry. Western areas continue to get rain this week into Sat. with some 0.25-1.00" additional amounts and scattered heavier. Drier farther east. 6-10 day precip near to below normal most areas. Additional rain slows harvest and fieldwork in western parts of North China Plain, central into western Yangtze Valley and western parts of southern growing areas, but does keep up soil moisture for winter wheat. Less rain in these areas for 6-10 day. Harvest and fieldwork conditions better farther east, but soils gradually dry.

During the past 24 hours most wheat areas were dry. Some light showers forecast in far southern parts of western and eastern wheat areas, drier elsewhere. 6-10 day rainfall mostly below normal. A larger portion of wheat crop will be nearing maturity in near future and harvest will be increasing. Yield losses have occurred in northern parts of eastern wheat areas this season, and crop conditions have worsened in some northern parts of western wheat areas. Crop conditions better overall farther south in both wheat areas. No major rain seen in near future for any wheat crops that could still benefit from rain.

During the past 24 hours most major corn growing areas were dry, a few light showers in east. LIttle or no rain in most corn areas this week into Sat., some light showers in east. 6-10 day rainfall near to below normal. No delays in corn planting here except where soils may be too dry. No major rains seen in near term to increase soil moisture. Best chances for light rain favor eastern corn areas.

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