INTERNATIONAL WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS
6:25 AM, Wednesday, November 22, 2017
TROPICAL PACIFIC UPDATE -- The latest weekly value of the sea
surface temperature departure from normal in the NINO3.4 region of the
Tropical Pacific as of Mon. from the U.S. Climate Prediction Center was -1.1
degrees C., same as last week. This latest values are well into the La Nina
category. -- BRAZIL/PARAGUAY - More rain in forecast in most growing areas in
near future slows planting and fieldwork at times, but adds or maintains soil
moisture. Lighter rain and increasing need for rain some northeastern
growing areas of Brazil. Growing areas of Paraguay and far southern Brazil
have a few more dry days than areas just to north. -- ARGENTINA - Some
showers later this week into Sat. add some soil moisture and slow fieldwork
some in northern 1/2 of growing areas, but overall trend still favorable for
fieldwork into 6-10 day. Need for some rain increases in south near term and
in more of region during 6-10 day. 11-15 day looks wetter. -- AUSTRALIA -
In western wheat areas improving harvest conditions into weekend. Wetter for
6-10 day. In eastern wheat areas, some brief dry time allows some harvest,
but wetter again later in week into 6-10 day. -- EUROPE - Near term
forecast drier in east, wetter western into central areas. Rain back into
east again this weekend. 6-10 day amounts near normal most areas, some above
far northwest and far southeast. Any precip beneficial in southwestern
Europe. -- FSU - Precip increases eastward across central and east into
Fri. and Sat., drier in west. 6-10 day precip near to above normal again in
west, near to below central and east. -- SOUTH AFRICA - Greatest rain
chances favor eastern 1/2 of corn areas into 6-10 day, lighter farther west.
Rain needed in some western and northwestern areas. -- NORTHERN AFRICA -
Rain badly needed in Morocco to allow wheat planting, rain also needed some
northwestern areas of Algeria. Not much forecast in these areas into
weekend, some chances for 6-10 day. Farther east some dry time after recent
rain allows further wheat planting to occur. Some rain returns later weekend
into 6-10 day.
BRAZIL/PARAGUAY GROWING AREAS
High temperatures yest. mostly upper 70s to
low 90s, a few cooler and a few warmer. During the past 24 hour little or no
significant rain in northeastern growing areas in northeastern Minas Gerais,
Bahia and locations farther north. Elsewhere scattered showers and t-storms
occurred, but not all locations had major rainfall. Amounts fairly light in
parts of Rio Grande do Sul and far southern Paraguay. Elsewhere 0.25-1.00"
amount common, with some lighter and some heavier.
A few drier days forecast in growing areas of Paraguay and far southern
Brazil from Rio Grande do Sul northward into parts of Parana and southern
Mato Grosso do Sul. Rain returns to these areas this weekend. Farther north
nearly daily chances for scattered showers and t-storms continues, but
coverage and amounts of rain less in some northeastern growing area of
Brazil. 5 day rainfall 0.75-2.00" large part of this region, but only 0.05-
0.60" amounts in a large part of Bahia and areas farther north. High temps
mostly 80s/90s, with a few 70s. 6-10 day rainfall below normal in
northeastern growing area of Brazil and decreasing to below normal in growing
areas of Paraguay and far southern Brazil. Near to a little above normal
elsewhere in Brazil. 11-15 day rainfall near normal most areas, some below in
northeastern growing areas of Brazil. After some beneficial rain earlier in
Nov. a trend of less rain has returned to Bahia and some bordering areas, and
that trend will continue in near future. Earlier rain increased soil
moisture to allow planting of summer crops, but need for rain increases again
in near future as more of crop is planted in these areas. In the rest of
Brazil and Paraguay, recent rain and more in forecast will slow planting and
fieldwork at times, but add or maintain soil moisture for summer crops.
Growing areas of Paraguay and far southern Brazil will have a few more dry
days than areas just to north.
ARGENTINA GROWING AREAS
High temperatures yest. mostly 70s/80s, some
cooler southeast and some warmer far north. Much of region dry past 24
hours, some showers far north.
Any spotty next few days, then next chance arrives late week into part of
weekend. 0.25-1.00" amounts forecast from northern Cordoba, central Santa Fe
and northern Entre Rios northward, lighter farther south. 6-10 day rainfall
most below normal, then 11-15 day amounts near normal. No major delays in
further summer crop planting and other fieldwork into 6-10 day. Some rain
later in week slows progress briefly in northern 1/2 of growing areas, and
may be beneficial in some locations. Need for some rain increases in some
southern areas near term and over more of region again during 6-10 day.
Better rain chances most areas for 11-15 day.
EUROPEAN GROWING AREAS
During past 24 hours some showers mostly in far
northern into far eastern Europe. Most amounts 0.05-0.40". Any rain
elsewhere spotty and lighter. Drier weather in eastern Europe for a few
days, while some rain chances increase farther west. Rain returns to east
this weekend. 6-10 day precip near normal most areas, some above far
northwest and far southeast. Fieldwork conditions improving in eastern Europe
for few days after recent Precip. wetter again in east this weekend.
Increasing precip in western and central areas in near term slows fieldwork,
but any precip in southwest beneficial.
FORMER SOVIET UNION GROWING AREAS
In southern growing areas some 0.40-
1.25" precip amounts past 24 hours in parts of far eastern Ukraine, western
Southern Region and far southeastern Central Region. Precip elsewhere
lighter and more spotty. Precip chances diminish in west mid to late week,
and increase into eastern areas. Some of this precip will fall as snow.
Some precip back into west later in weekend. 6-10 day precip near to above
normal far west, near to below normal elsewhere. Some precip spreading
eastward this week into early weekend adds some soil moisture in winter crop
areas, and some snow cover in northern locations. Precip most beneficial in
eastern areas. More precip chances in west late weekend into 6-10 day.
AUSTRALIAN GROWING AREAS
During past 24 hours little or no significant
rain most wheat areas. Little or no rain in western wheat areas into
weekend, then at least near normal rain overall for 6-10 day. Drier trend in
eastern wheat areas next 24 to 36 hours, then rain chances return and near to
above normal amounts for 6-10 day. Improving conditions for harvest in
western wheat areas this week into Sat., then greater rainfall into 6-10 day.
After weekend rain in eastern wheat areas, some brief dry time allows some
harvest, but wetter again later in week into 6-10 day.
SOUTH AFRICAN GROWING AREAS
High temperatures yest. 80s/90s in main corn
areas. A few light showers in southern corn areas, drier elsewhere. Some rain
chances return to corn areas into weekend. Amounts around 0.25" or less in
western corn areas, ranging up to 0.50-1.50" in eastern 1/2. 6-10 day
rainfall near east, below normal central into western corn areas. Current
period of less rain allowing additional corn planting to be completed in more
areas. Rain second half of this week into 6-10 day period favors eastern 1/2
of corn areas, adding or maintaining soil moisture. Lighter rain in west and
need for rain likely greatest in some western and northwestern corn areas.
NORTH AFRICAN GROWING AREAS
High temperatures yest. in most of wheat area
60s/70s, with dry weather past 24 hours. Little or no rain in most areas into
weekend, with some light showers returning to far east. Some better chances
more areas for 6-10 day with amounts near to below normal. Rain needed in
Morocco and far northwestern Algeria to increase soil moisture for wheat
planting, especially in Morocco. None seen in near term, then some forecast
for 6-10 day. Lack of soil moisture most critical in parts of Morocco.
Greater recent rain farther east in northern Algeria and northern Tunisia has
increased soil moisture and some dry near term allows wheat planting to
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