Freese-Notis Weather
 

FREESE-NOTIS
INTERNATIONAL WEATHER


7:40 AM, Thursday, June 21, 2018


WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS/IMPACTS...

CHINA - Overall growing conditions favorable for summer crops most areas into 6-10 day. Some dry days in near term allow winter crop harvest in northern into central parts of North China Plain.

BRAZIL/PARAGUAY - Fairly dry pattern favors increasing harvest in Safrinha corn crop, with no rain for any of latest developing crop that could still benefit from rain.

EUROPE - Generally favorable growing conditions near term. Additional rain beneficial in southeast, but does slow winter crop harvest. Rain needed in some north-central into northeastern areas, next chance later in week. --- FSU - In winter crop and far southern spring crop areas some worsening of crop conditions central and east, better conditions in west and some far southern areas. Any remaining planting slowed in spring wheat areas near term central and east, drier most areas for 6-10 day, but still wet some eastern locations. --- CANADA - Growing conditions favorable most areas near term, next rain chance late week into Mon. Need for rain increases longer term. - -- AUSTRALIA - Best overall growing conditions in western wheat areas and southern parts of eastern areas, but need for some rain gradually increasing. Need for rain greater and increasing farther north in eastern areas, with some possible for 6-10 day. --- INDIA - Progression of seasonal monsoon several days behind normal in moving farther north and northwest, and there is a current lull in rain many other areas. Later this week into 6-10 and 11-15 day periods rain increases again and starts to move farther north and west, but major amounts still not seen in some northwestern and west-central areas until 6-10 and 11-15 day. Rain needed in northwest and west-central for more planting to begin, and need for rain increasing again many other areas.


CHINA

    High temperatures yest. upper 70s to low 90s much of this region, with a few cooler and some warmer in far south and in northeastern North China Plain. During the past 24 hours most of North China Plain was dry, with some showers far northwest and far south. South of Yangtze River rainfall 0.25-1.00" with some lighter and some heavier. In Manchuria a few rain amounts of 0.25-1.00" in east, lighter and more spotty showers elsewhere.

    Most rainfall scattered and light in Manchuria and North China Plain into weekend with some dry days forecast. Highs 80s/90s, some cooler northern Manchuria. Rain chances increase early next week with some 0.10-0.75" amounts late in 5 day. Greater rainfall during this period from far southern North China Plain and Yangtze Valley southward into southern China with additional 0.75-3.00" amounts and spotty heavier. 6-10 day rainfall near to below normal in southern China and some far northern parts of North China Plain and far southwestern parts of Manchuria. Near to above normal rest of North China Plain and Manchuria. 11-15 day rainfall near to below normal southern China, near to above normal most of North China Plain and Manchuria. Overall growing conditions favorable in most growing areas. Some dry time near term in Manchuria and northern into central North China Plain allows some winter crop harvest, then some rain returns for summer crops later in 5 day and beyond. More rain keeps up soil moisture near term farther south, with a trend for less rain for 6-10 day.


BRAZIL/PARAGUAY

    During past 24 hours dry in most Safrinha corn areas. No significant rain into weekend in Safrinha corn areas and 6-10 day rainfall below normal. No weather delays in increasing Safrinha corn areas, also no rain for any later developing crop that could still benefit from rain.

High Temperature Map 24-Hour Rainfall Map



INDIA/PAKISTAN

    During past 24 hours some rain continued in southwestern parts of India. Elsewhere some lesser coverage rainfall occurred, with many areas dry. Northward and westward progression of seasonal monsoon continues to be slow and several days behind normal pace. By now monsoonal rains should be occurring over all but some northwestern and far north-central parts of India. Weather pattern becomes more favor for increasing rain in most of southern into eastern India later week into weekend, but no major amounts in most Gujarat, northwest and some north-central areas. Rains increase in these areas for 6-10 day and 11-15 day. Progression of seasonal monsoon several days behind normal in moving farther north and northwest, and there is a current decrease in rain many other areas. Later this week into late June rain increases again and starts to move farther north and west, but major amounts still not see in some northwestern and west-central areas until 6-10 and 11-15 day periods. Rain needed in northwest and west-central for more planting to begin, and need for rain has been increasing again many other areas.


EUROPE

    High temperatures upper 70s to low 90s most of this area, some warmer in Spain and some cooler far north. Most rainfall spotty and light, with greater coverage of light amounts in some southeatern areas. Rain chances increase again into Sat. in central into eastern Europe. 0.25- 1.00" amounts in most locations. 6-10 near to below normal most areas, some above in far southwest and in east-central into southeast. Generally favorable growing conditions near term. Additional rain beneficial in southeast, but does slow winter crop harvest. Rain needed in some northeastern areas with next chance later in week into Sat. Need for rain increases in some west-central and southwestern areas, but winter crop harvest progresses in southwest.


FORMER SOVIET UNION

    High temperatures yest. in upper 70s to low 90s most southern growing areas, 60s into 80 in spring wheat areas. During past 24 hours most of the winter crop and far southern spring crop areas were dry. 0.10-0.75" rainfall past 24 hours mostly in central spring wheat areas, with lighter amounts farther west and farther east. In winter crop and far southern spring crop areas rain chances return to western and some far southeastern locations this weekend into Mon. 0.25-1.00" rainfall forecast in southern part of Southern Region, western into north-central Ukraine, and southern parts of Belarus and southwestern Central Region. Elsewhere rain lighter, more spotty and none forecast in some eastern locations. 6-10 day rainfall near to above normal most western areas, ranging down to below normal in east. In spring wheat areas off and on rain chances this week into weekend, with 0.25-1.00" amounts in most areas and some lighter in southwest and south-central. 6-10 day rainfall near to below normal, some above far east and far southwest. In winter crop and southern spring crop areas best growing conditions continue to be in southern parts of Southern Region, western into north-central Ukraine, southern Belarus and southern Central Region. Elsewhere some worsening of crop conditions as rain stays light. Some harvest of winter crops should be increasing. In spring wheat areas remaining planting continues to be slowed by rain central and east, less rain overall in some western areas. Improving conditions for more of region for 6-10 day should allow planting to be completed, but in far east progress still slowed.


CANADA

    High temperatures yest. mostly 70s/80s. During past 24 hours any showers spotty and light. Warm and fairly dry for a few days, then some rain returns into early next week. Most amounts 0.10- 0.75", greatest in west and southern growing areas. southwest. 6-10 day rainfall near to below normal. Current growing conditions favorable most areas, and some rain again later week into weekend beneficial. Need for rain will increase longer term in many areas.


AUSTRALIA

    During past 24 hours rainfall spotty and light western wheat areas and most eastern areas dry. Most additional rainfall in wheat areas light into weekend and favoring far southern locations. Mostly below normal 6-10 day amounts, some greater in northern part of eastern wheat areas. Favorable growing conditions most western wheat areas, but eastern part this region needs more rain. Need for rain gradually increases in most areas. Best growing conditions in eastern wheat areas favor southern areas, but need for rain will increase. Need for rain continuing and increasing farther north in New South Wales and southeastern Queensland to increase soil moisture and prevent worsening crop conditions. Some rain in these areas for 6-10 day.

    Copyright 2018

    DAN HICKS/METEOROLOGIST
    Freese - Notis Weather
    Des Moines, IA 50312
    Tel (515) 282-9310
    hfreese@weather.net




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