FREESE-NOTIS
INTERNATIONAL WEATHER

7:00 AM, Wednesday, October 17, 2018

BRAZIL/PARAGUAY - It looks like first significant rains of season will fall in near term and into 6-10 day in some northeastern growing ares of Brazil, including northern Minas Gerais, northeastern Goias, eastern Tocantins, Bahia and areas north of Bahia, increasing soil moisture and allowing spring crop planting to begin. In rest these areas additional rains continue to add or maintain soil moisture for spring crops and spring crop planting, but do slow planting at times, as well as winter crop harvest.

ARGENTINA - Pattern of light rainfall and some dry time past few days and next few days, allows harvest of winter crops and spring crop planting to progress. Wetter weather later this week into a part of 6-10 day slows fieldwork, but bring some beneficial rain to some western and central areas needing greater amounts. This may benefit some later developing winter crops.

CHINA - Weather into weekend generally favorable for more completion of summer crop harvest and winter crop planting in Manchuria and North China Plain. A few showers in North China Plain benefit winter crops. Fieldwork slowed some in southern China, especially western and central growing areas. --- FORMER SOVIET UNION - Weather here favorable for summer crop harvest and winter crop planting. Some rain would be beneficial for increasing soil moisture for winter crops and winter crop planting, especially in parts of Ukraine. Increase amounts for 6-10 day. --- EUROPE - Recent rain in far west, some additional rain in south near term and eventually into east beneficial for increasing soil moisture for winter crops. Areas left needing rain most due to long-term drought conditions include northeastern France, Low Counties, Germany and western Poland. Near term conditions for fieldwork favorable most areas, but work slowed in some southern areas. --- SOUTH AFRICA - Rain from latest system slowed early corn planting, but added some soil moisture where rain was needed. Drier trend allows planting to increase again. Some light rain lingers in eastern corn areas. --- AUSTRALIA - An increase in late season rainfall likely has benefited some of later developing wheat crop, but came too late to reverse reduced yields caused by long-term drought conditions in sections of eastern wheat areas. Some additional rainfall at times into late Oct. will slow some early harvest. --- TROPICAL PACIFIC UPDATE -- The latest weekly value of the sea surface temperature departure from normal in the NINO3.4 region of the Tropical Pacific as of Mon. from the U.S. Climate Prediction Center was +0.6 degrees C., down from +0.7 degrees C last week. Recent values in weak El Nino category.

During past 24 hours it was dry in some main growing areas of Paraguay and far southern Brazil, but a few showers were returning early today. . Farther north in Brazil scattered showers and t-storms continued. Not all locations had rain, but some rain did occur a few far northeastern growing areas. Amounts 0.10-0.75" with isolated heavier.

Most of these growing areas continue to get scattered showers and t-storms into weekend, but not all areas get rain each day. Some rain returns to Paraguay and far southern Brazil into late week, then a few dry days again this weekend. Some continued increase in rain chances in far northeastern growing areas of Brazil. 5 day amounts 0.50-1.50" in most areas, along with a few lighter and a few heavier amounts. 6-10 day rainfall near to above normal most areas, some below far south. It looks like first significant rains of season will fall in near term and into 6-10 day in some northeastern growing ares of Brazil, including northern Minas Gerais, northeastern Goias, eastern Tocantins, Bahia and areas north of Bahia, increasing soil moisture and allowing spring crop planting to begin. In rest these areas additional rains continue to add or maintain soil moisture for spring crops and spring crop planting, but do slow planting at times, as well as winter crop harvest.

ARGENTINA GROWING AREAS

Most of this area had no significant rain past 24 hours, with some showers in far northeast and in a few southeastern growing areas.

Most areas see rain chances increase here into weekend. 5 day amounts 0.25- 1.00", some lighter in east and some heavier in west. 6-10 day rainfall near to above normal, some below in southeast. Pattern of light rainfall and some dry time recently allowed some early harvest of winter crops and spring crop planting to progress. Wetter weather later this week into a part of 6-10 day slows fieldwork, but bring some beneficial rain to some western and central areas needing greater amounts. This may benefit some later developing winter crops.

During past 24 hours no significant rain fell ion most of this area, with a few greater amounts in southwest and south-central areas. Greatest rain chances into weekend favor far south, with some 0.50- 1.50" amounts in western areas and 0.10-0.75" farther east. Little or rain farther north. 6-10 day rainfall near to above normal some far eastern areas, below normal elsewhere. Recent rain in far west, some additional rain in south near term and eventually into east beneficial for increasing soil moisture for winter crops. Areas left needing rain most due to long-term drought conditions include northeastern France, Low Counties, Germany and western Poland. Near term conditions for fieldwork favorable most areas, but work slowed in some southern areas.

During past 24 hours most southern summer crop areas and winter crop areas were dry. In these areas little or no rain seen into weekend. 6-10 day amounts near normal. Weather here favorable for summer crop harvest and winter crop planting. Some rain would be beneficial for increasing soil moisture for winter crops and winter crop planting, especially in parts of Ukraine. Chances increase for 6-10 day.

During past 24 hours most of Manchuria and North china Plain were dry, with a few showers in northeastern North China Plain. Some rain in southern China, most amounts under 0.50" with a few heavier. Most of Manchuria and a large part of North China Plain get no significant rain into weekend. Some amounts in 0.10-0.75" in far western North China Plain. 0.25- 1.00" rainfall in southern China, with a few heavier amounts in central and west. 6-10 day precip near to above normal western and central parts of southern China and in Manchuria, near to below normal elsewhere. Weather into weekend generally favorable for more completion of summer crop harvest and winter crop planting in Manchuria and North China Plain. A few showers in North China Plain benefit winter crops. Fieldwork slowed some in southern China, especially western and central growing areas.

During past 24 hours dry in most western wheat areas. In eastern wheat areas rainfall of 0.05-0.50" common, with a few heavier amounts. Rainfall in western wheat areas lighter and more spotty into weekend. Some greater amounts far southwest. In eastern wheat areas some additional 0.10-0.75" rainfall into late week, some heavier in far east. 6- 10 day rainfall below normal most western, near to above normal in most eastern wheat areas. An increase in late season rainfall likely has benefited some of later developing wheat crop, but came too late to reverse reduced yields caused by long-term drought conditions in sections of eastern wheat areas. Some additional rainfall at times into late Oct. will slow some early harvest.

During the past 24 hours more of corn areas were dry, with some showers in southeast. Drier trend in most western and central corn areas into weekend, with some additional light rain in east. returns to most corn growing areas this week. Some additional 0.05-0.50" rain in east this week. 6-10 day rainfall near to below normal. Rain from latest system slowed early corn planting, but added some soil moisture where rain was needed. Drier trend allows planting to increase again. Some light rain lingers in eastern corn areas.

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