Freese-Notis Weather
 

FREESE-NOTIS
INTERNATIONAL WEATHER


6:00 AM, Friday, February 23, 2018


WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS/IMPACTS...

BRAZIL/PARAGUAY - After some recent rain, a drier trend into mid next week will be more favorable again for harvest of soybeans and first crop corn, Safrinha corn planting and other fieldwork in growing areas of Paraguay and in southern Brazil from Rio Grande do Sul northward into southern Sao Paulo and southern Mato Grosso do Sul. Farther north in Brazil additional rain slows fieldwork into mid next week, including in major growing area of Mato Grosso. Pattern looks more favorable for fieldwork in northern areas for 6-10 day, while rain chances increase again in south. A return of rain to far southern growing area of Brazil in Rio Grande do Sul and Santa Catarina will be beneficial for some later developing summer crops.

ARGENTINA - There remain some major central into southern growing areas in southern Cordoba, northeastern La Pampa, Santa Fe, western Entre Rios and a smaller part of Buenos Aires where need for rain remains critical to prevent further worsening of crop conditions. Pattern does not look promising for major rainfall in these areas and yield reductions are occurring in many of the drier areas summer crop areas. Some better rain potential returning to northern growing areas beneficial for summer crops and keep growing conditions somewhat more favorable overall.

EUROPE - Near term heating demand above normal, 6-10 heating demand mostly above normal some normal far south. Some low temps down around zero are forecast during this colder period in winter crop areas of Poland. Some, but not all areas, will have snow cover. -- FSU -Colder trend in more of this area into next week with lows dropping into single numbers above and below zero in northern into central areas and some teens below zero in north. Lows warmer in southern areas. Where coldest temps occur there will be some snow cover in most areas. -- SOUTH AFRICA - Weather pattern continues to bring generally favorable growing conditions to most corn areas. -- NORTHERN AFRICA - Weather pattern brings periodic rain to most wheat areas keeping growing conditions favorable. Warmer temps returning to central and east beneficial.


BRAZIL/PARAGUAY GROWING AREAS

    High temperatures yest. upper 70s to low 90s. It was generally dry past 24 hours in growing areas of Paraguay and in southern Brazil from Rio Grande do Sul northward into a large part of Mato Grosso do Sul and Sao Paulo. Showers and t-storms continued farther north with 0.25-1.00" rainfall along with some lighter and few heavier amounts.

    High temps into mid next week upper 70s to low 90s, with a few warmer. Low to mid 90s become more common in main growing areas of Paraguay. Rain favors northern growing areas from northern Mato Grosso and northern into northeastern Sao Paulo northward. 5 day rainfall in 0.75-3.00" range most areas. Farther south any rainfall lighter and more spotty with more dry time. 6-10 day rainfall drops to near and below normal in northern 1/2 of growing areas, while increasing to near and above normal in south 1/2. 11-15 day rainfall not too far from normal most areas. After some recent rain, a drier trend into mid next week will be more favorable again for harvest of soybeans and first crop corn, Safrinha corn planting and other fieldwork in growing areas of Paraguay and in southern Brazil from Rio Grande do Sul northward into southern Sao Paulo and southern Mato Grosso do Sul. Farther north in Brazil additional rain slows fieldwork into mid next week, including in major growing area of Mato Grosso. Pattern looks more favorable for fieldwork in northern areas for 6-10 day, while rain chances increase again in south. A return of rain to far southern growing area of Brazil in Rio Grande do Sul and Santa Catarina will be beneficial for some later developing summer crops.


ARGENTINA GROWING AREAS

    High temperatures yest. upper 70s to low 90s most areas. During the past 24 hours most growing areas were dry.

    Highs in the upper 80s/90s should return to most of this area into next week. A few spotty showers and t-storms in forecast, but no significant rain in most areas. A few greater amounts confined to some far western and northwestern growing areas. It looks like rain chance will increase starting late next week for a few days, especially in northern 1/2 of growing areas. 6-10 day rainfall near normal in northern areas, trending down to below normal central into southern growing areas. 11-15 day rainfall near to below normal. There remain some major central into southern growing areas in southern Cordoba, northeastern La Pampa, Santa Fe, western Entre Rios and a smaller part of Buenos Aires where need for rain remains critical to prevent further worsening of crop conditions. Pattern does not look promising for major rainfall in these areas and yield reductions are occurring in many of the drier areas summer crop areas. Some better rain potential returning to northern growing areas beneficial for summer crops and keep growing conditions somewhat more favorable overall, After some recent rain, a drier trend into first mid next week will be more favorable again for harvest of soybeans and first crop corn, Safrinha corn planting and other fieldwork in growing areas of Paraguay and in southern Brazil from Rio Grande do Sul northward into southern Sao Paulo and southern Mato Grosso do Sul. Farther north in Brazil additional rain slows fieldwork into mid next week, including in major growing area of Mato Grosso. Pattern looks more favorable for fieldwork in northern areas for 6-10 day, while rain chances increase again in south. A return of rain to far southern growing area of Brazil in Rio Grande do Sul and Santa Catarina will be beneficial for some later developing summer crops.


EUROPEAN GROWING AREAS

    High temperatures yest. 30s/40s in much of this area, warmer in far south and a few upper 20s central into northeast. Near term temps mostly below normal and 6-10 day temps below normal most areas with some warmer far south. Near term heating demand above normal, 6-10 heating demand mostly above normal some normal far south. Some low temps down around zero are forecast during this colder period in winter crop areas of Poland. Some, but not all areas, will have snow cover.


FORMER SOVIET UNION GROWING AREAS

    Scattered mostly light precip past 24 hours most winter crop areas. Some single numbers and low teens below zero in far north-central and northeastern areas, with warmer readings farther south. Where these coldest reading occurred there is snow cover. More light precip chances in near future maintain snow cover in most northern into central winter crop areas, and add some snow cover in south. Colder trend in more of this area into next week with lows dropping into single numbers above and below zero in northern into central areas and some teens below zero in north. Lows warmer in southern areas. Where coldest temps occur there will be some snow cover in most areas.




SOUTH AFRICAN GROWING AREAS

    High temperatures yest. upper 60s to low 80s most corn areas, some warmer far west. Rainfall past 24 hours light in most areas, some over 0.25" in a few far southern corn area. Additional rain chances into weekend an Mon. then drier. Additional rainfall 0.25-1.00" with some lighter in west. Some rain returns during 6-10 day, with mostly near normal amounts. Weather pattern continues to bring generally favorable growing conditions to most corn areas.


NORTH AFRICAN GROWING AREAS

    High temperatures yest. in main wheat areas 40s/50s in northern Algeria and northern Tunisia, mostly 60s in Morocco. During past 24 hours rainfall of 0.05-0.50" fairly common in north-central into northeastern Algeria and northern Tunisia, with a few heavier amounts near coast areas. Drier farther to the west. A more days with cool temps and showers in east, then warmer and drier. Dry in west for a few more days, then some rain returns late week into early next week. Most 5 day amounts in all areas in 0.10-0.75" range. 6-10 day near to a little above normal in Morocco, near to below normal farther east. Weather pattern brings periodic rain to most wheat areas keeping growing conditions favorable. Warmer temps returning to central and east beneficial.

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    DAN HICKS/METEOROLOGIST
    Freese - Notis Weather
    Des Moines, IA 50312
    Tel (515) 282-9310
    hfreese@weather.net




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