Freese-Notis Weather
 

FREESE-NOTIS
INTERNATIONAL WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS


6:25 AM, Wednesday, November 22, 2017


HIGHLIGHTS... TROPICAL PACIFIC UPDATE -- The latest weekly value of the sea surface temperature departure from normal in the NINO3.4 region of the Tropical Pacific as of Mon. from the U.S. Climate Prediction Center was -1.1 degrees C., same as last week. This latest values are well into the La Nina category. -- BRAZIL/PARAGUAY - More rain in forecast in most growing areas in near future slows planting and fieldwork at times, but adds or maintains soil moisture. Lighter rain and increasing need for rain some northeastern growing areas of Brazil. Growing areas of Paraguay and far southern Brazil have a few more dry days than areas just to north. -- ARGENTINA - Some showers later this week into Sat. add some soil moisture and slow fieldwork some in northern 1/2 of growing areas, but overall trend still favorable for fieldwork into 6-10 day. Need for some rain increases in south near term and in more of region during 6-10 day. 11-15 day looks wetter. -- AUSTRALIA - In western wheat areas improving harvest conditions into weekend. Wetter for 6-10 day. In eastern wheat areas, some brief dry time allows some harvest, but wetter again later in week into 6-10 day. -- EUROPE - Near term forecast drier in east, wetter western into central areas. Rain back into east again this weekend. 6-10 day amounts near normal most areas, some above far northwest and far southeast. Any precip beneficial in southwestern Europe. -- FSU - Precip increases eastward across central and east into Fri. and Sat., drier in west. 6-10 day precip near to above normal again in west, near to below central and east. -- SOUTH AFRICA - Greatest rain chances favor eastern 1/2 of corn areas into 6-10 day, lighter farther west. Rain needed in some western and northwestern areas. -- NORTHERN AFRICA - Rain badly needed in Morocco to allow wheat planting, rain also needed some northwestern areas of Algeria. Not much forecast in these areas into weekend, some chances for 6-10 day. Farther east some dry time after recent rain allows further wheat planting to occur. Some rain returns later weekend into 6-10 day.


BRAZIL/PARAGUAY GROWING AREAS

    High temperatures yest. mostly upper 70s to low 90s, a few cooler and a few warmer. During the past 24 hour little or no significant rain in northeastern growing areas in northeastern Minas Gerais, Bahia and locations farther north. Elsewhere scattered showers and t-storms occurred, but not all locations had major rainfall. Amounts fairly light in parts of Rio Grande do Sul and far southern Paraguay. Elsewhere 0.25-1.00" amount common, with some lighter and some heavier.

    A few drier days forecast in growing areas of Paraguay and far southern Brazil from Rio Grande do Sul northward into parts of Parana and southern Mato Grosso do Sul. Rain returns to these areas this weekend. Farther north nearly daily chances for scattered showers and t-storms continues, but coverage and amounts of rain less in some northeastern growing area of Brazil. 5 day rainfall 0.75-2.00" large part of this region, but only 0.05- 0.60" amounts in a large part of Bahia and areas farther north. High temps mostly 80s/90s, with a few 70s. 6-10 day rainfall below normal in northeastern growing area of Brazil and decreasing to below normal in growing areas of Paraguay and far southern Brazil. Near to a little above normal elsewhere in Brazil. 11-15 day rainfall near normal most areas, some below in northeastern growing areas of Brazil. After some beneficial rain earlier in Nov. a trend of less rain has returned to Bahia and some bordering areas, and that trend will continue in near future. Earlier rain increased soil moisture to allow planting of summer crops, but need for rain increases again in near future as more of crop is planted in these areas. In the rest of Brazil and Paraguay, recent rain and more in forecast will slow planting and fieldwork at times, but add or maintain soil moisture for summer crops. Growing areas of Paraguay and far southern Brazil will have a few more dry days than areas just to north.


ARGENTINA GROWING AREAS

    High temperatures yest. mostly 70s/80s, some cooler southeast and some warmer far north. Much of region dry past 24 hours, some showers far north.

    Any spotty next few days, then next chance arrives late week into part of weekend. 0.25-1.00" amounts forecast from northern Cordoba, central Santa Fe and northern Entre Rios northward, lighter farther south. 6-10 day rainfall most below normal, then 11-15 day amounts near normal. No major delays in further summer crop planting and other fieldwork into 6-10 day. Some rain later in week slows progress briefly in northern 1/2 of growing areas, and may be beneficial in some locations. Need for some rain increases in some southern areas near term and over more of region again during 6-10 day. Better rain chances most areas for 11-15 day.


EUROPEAN GROWING AREAS

    During past 24 hours some showers mostly in far northern into far eastern Europe. Most amounts 0.05-0.40". Any rain elsewhere spotty and lighter. Drier weather in eastern Europe for a few days, while some rain chances increase farther west. Rain returns to east this weekend. 6-10 day precip near normal most areas, some above far northwest and far southeast. Fieldwork conditions improving in eastern Europe for few days after recent Precip. wetter again in east this weekend. Increasing precip in western and central areas in near term slows fieldwork, but any precip in southwest beneficial.


FORMER SOVIET UNION GROWING AREAS

    In southern growing areas some 0.40- 1.25" precip amounts past 24 hours in parts of far eastern Ukraine, western Southern Region and far southeastern Central Region. Precip elsewhere lighter and more spotty. Precip chances diminish in west mid to late week, and increase into eastern areas. Some of this precip will fall as snow. Some precip back into west later in weekend. 6-10 day precip near to above normal far west, near to below normal elsewhere. Some precip spreading eastward this week into early weekend adds some soil moisture in winter crop areas, and some snow cover in northern locations. Precip most beneficial in eastern areas. More precip chances in west late weekend into 6-10 day.



AUSTRALIAN GROWING AREAS

    During past 24 hours little or no significant rain most wheat areas. Little or no rain in western wheat areas into weekend, then at least near normal rain overall for 6-10 day. Drier trend in eastern wheat areas next 24 to 36 hours, then rain chances return and near to above normal amounts for 6-10 day. Improving conditions for harvest in western wheat areas this week into Sat., then greater rainfall into 6-10 day. After weekend rain in eastern wheat areas, some brief dry time allows some harvest, but wetter again later in week into 6-10 day.


SOUTH AFRICAN GROWING AREAS

    High temperatures yest. 80s/90s in main corn areas. A few light showers in southern corn areas, drier elsewhere. Some rain chances return to corn areas into weekend. Amounts around 0.25" or less in western corn areas, ranging up to 0.50-1.50" in eastern 1/2. 6-10 day rainfall near east, below normal central into western corn areas. Current period of less rain allowing additional corn planting to be completed in more areas. Rain second half of this week into 6-10 day period favors eastern 1/2 of corn areas, adding or maintaining soil moisture. Lighter rain in west and need for rain likely greatest in some western and northwestern corn areas.


NORTH AFRICAN GROWING AREAS

    High temperatures yest. in most of wheat area 60s/70s, with dry weather past 24 hours. Little or no rain in most areas into weekend, with some light showers returning to far east. Some better chances more areas for 6-10 day with amounts near to below normal. Rain needed in Morocco and far northwestern Algeria to increase soil moisture for wheat planting, especially in Morocco. None seen in near term, then some forecast for 6-10 day. Lack of soil moisture most critical in parts of Morocco. Greater recent rain farther east in northern Algeria and northern Tunisia has increased soil moisture and some dry near term allows wheat planting to progress.

    Copyright 2017

    DAN HICKS/METEOROLOGIST
    Freese - Notis Weather
    Des Moines, IA 50312
    Tel (515) 282-9310
    hfreese@weather.net




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