FREESE-NOTIS
INTERNATIONAL WEATHER

7:30 AM, Tuesday, August 21, 2018

CHINA - Some drier days beneficial in areas of east-central China where heavy rain fell recently. Elsewhere some additional rain keeps up soil moisture for summer crops, with only small pockets of drier conditions. Some slowing of spring wheat harvest in Manchuria, and some other summer crop harvest in southern China. Larger part of this area has less rain for 6-10 day.

FORMER SOVIET UNION - Growing conditions favorable most spring wheat areas, but need for rain continues to increase in southwest, in parts of Central Region, southern Volga Region and northwestern Kazakhstan where some risk of reduced yields are possible. More of this crop should be reaching maturity soon. In winter crop and far southern spring crop areas best growing conditions favor western areas and southern part of Southern Region. Need for rain continues to increase for summer crops and some continue to worsen, with additional yield reductions possible farther east in some the drier pockets of southeastern Ukraine, Southern Region, far southern Volga Region and far western Kazakhstan.

BRAZIL - Some showers slow Safrinha corn harvest at times in near term in southern part of region, better harvest weather farther north. --- EUROPE - Some recent rain and some additional light amounts, beneficial in drought areas of northwestern, north-central and west-central Europe, but not enough rain to make up for long-term moisture deficits and no major rain in near future. Some crop yield potential already lost in these areas. Overall better growing conditions continue in eastern Europe. --- CANADA - The amount of crops in this area reaching or nearing maturity is increasing. For crops in earlier stages, areas most susceptible to worsening crop conditions and some yield reductions are in southern AB and southern SK. Increasing need for rain elsewhere. Near term rain favors north, and more of region for 6-10 day. Where crops are mature, weather favorable for fieldwork and harvest in near term, with 6-10 day a little wetter. --- AUSTRALIA - Ongoing and worsening drought conditions in eastern wheat areas of New South Wales and southeastern Queensland. Some rain here later in week may provide some short-term benefit for crops, but not major improvement. It may be getting too late for rain to help some crops. Better growing conditions in far southern parts of eastern wheat area and in western wheat areas. --- INDIA - Need for greater rainfall continues in some southeastern rice areas of India, as well as some cotton areas of far northwestern India and Pakistan, as amounts stay light. Over rest of India some increasing rain in Gujarat and some northwestern areas, and some additional rain, beneficial for some wheat and soybean areas. In rest of India additional rains forecast in most crop areas.

Highs yest. 70s/80s in Manchuria and mostly 80s/90s elsewhere. Some around 100 central Yangtze Valley. During past 24 hours some rainfall over an inch in some far eastern and far northwestern areas, most amounts lighter. In North China Plain significant rain confined to far eastern and far western locations, and significant rain fairly spotty in southern China.

Highs stay in the 80s/90s in much of this area this week. Temps more variable and cooler at times in Manchuria. Typhoon Soulik moves to near western Korea next few days and remnants of storm bring some 0.75-3.00" rainfall to central into eastern growing areas of Manchuria into late week. Lighter in west. 5 day rainfall of 0.50-1.50" in western North China Plain and western into southern and eastern parts of Southern China. Lighter rest of North China Plain and southern region. 6-10 day rainfall near to below normal most areas, some above in far south and in northeastern Manchuria. Some drier days beneficial in areas of east-central China where heavy rain fell recently. Elsewhere some additional rain keeps up soil moisture for summer crops, with only small pockets of drier conditions. Some slowing of spring wheat harvest in Manchuria, and some other summer crop harvest in southern China. Larger part of this area has less rain for 6-10 day.

BRAZIL/PARAGUAY

During past 24 hours mostly some scattered light showers in Safrinha corn areas. Additional showers this week into weekend increase in southern Safrinha corn areas, and farther south in Brazil and Paraguay. Farther north no major rainfall Most 6-10 day rainfall near to below normal in Safrinha corn areas. Some showers slow Safrinha corn harvest at times in near term southern part of region, better harvest weather farther north.

INDIA/PAKISTAN

During past 24 hours rainfall light in Gujarat into some far northwestern and north-central areas, as well as in southeastern India. Most other areas reported more significant rain. Lightest amounts of rain this week into weekend fall in southeastern India and in some far northwestern areas into southern and central parts of Pakistan with less than 0.50". Greater rainfall elsewhere including Gujarat. Similar trend for 6-10 day. Need for greater rainfall continues in some southeastern rice areas of India, as well as some cotton areas of far northwestern India and Pakistan, as amounts stay light. Over rest of India some increasing rain in Gujarat and some northwestern areas, and some additional rain, beneficial for some wheat and soybean areas. In rest of India additional rains forecast in most crop areas.

Highs yest. upper 70s to low 90s most areas, some warmer far southwest and some cooler in north. Most rainfall spotty and light, a few significant amounts far south-central. Above normal temps in most areas this week. No major rain in most areas with some amounts of 0.05- 0.50". A few heavier in south and in western into northern Great Britain. 6- 10 day rainfall near to above normal in east near to below normal elsewhere. Some recent rain and some additional light amounts, beneficial in drought areas of northwestern, north-central and west-central Europe, but not enough rain to make up for long-term moisture deficits and no major rain in near future. Some crop yield potential already lost in these areas. Overall better growing conditions continue in eastern Europe.

High temperatures in 70s/80s in large part of main growing areas, with some cooler in central spring wheat areas. Large part of winter crop and far southern summer crop areas had no rain past 24 hours, with a few showers in southern Belarus. In spring wheat areas most rainfall scattered and light, some amounts of 0.25-1.00" in central and far northwestern locations. No major rainfall in much of winter crop and far southern parts of spring crop areas this week, some showers far west and in southern part of Southern Region. 6-10 day rainfall below normal most areas, some greater far west. In spring wheat areas some 0.25-1.00" rainfall most areas this week into weekend, greatest in east and some lighter in southwest. 6-10 day rainfall near to below normal most areas, some above east and far west. Growing conditions favorable most spring wheat areas, but need for rain continues to increase in southwest, in parts of Central Region, southern Volga Region and northwestern Kazakhstan where some risk of reduced yields are possible. More of this crop should be reaching maturity soon. In winter crop and far southern spring crop areas best growing conditions favor western areas and southern part of Southern Region. Need for rain continues to increase for summer crops and some continue to worsen, with additional yield reductions possible farther east in some the drier pockets of southeastern Ukraine, Southern Region, far southern Volga Region and far western Kazakhstan.

High temperatures yest. upper 60s/70s. Any rain past 24 hours scattered and light, and mainly in far west. Changeable temp pattern here this week with some 0.10-0.50" rainfall in northern growing areas and lighter overall in south. Near to above normal 6- 10 day rainfall. The amount of crops in this area reaching or nearing maturity is increasing. For crops in earlier stages, areas most susceptible to worsening crop conditions and some yield reductions are in southern AB and southern SK. Increasing need for rain elsewhere. Near term rain favors north, and more of region for 6-10 day. Where crops are mature, weather favorable for fieldwork and harvest in near term, with 6-10 day a little wetter.

During the past 24 hours rainfall scattered an light in most wheat areas, any amounts over 0.10" confined to far southwestern parts of western wheat area and far southern parts of eastern wheat area. In western wheat areas some 0.05-0.50" rainfall next 48 hours, greatest in south, then drier. Some showers again for weekend. In eastern wheat areas drier trend in south. Some rain in southeastern Queensland and northern New South Wales later in week with some 0.10-0.75" amounts. 6-10 day rainfall near to below normal northern parts of eastern wheat areas, near normal elsewhere. Ongoing and worsening drought conditions in eastern wheat areas of New South Wales and southeastern Queensland. Some rain here later in week may provide some short-term benefit for crops, but not major improvement. It may be getting too late for rain to help some crops. Better growing conditions in far southern parts of eastern wheat area and in western wheat areas.

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